Hilliard’s Weekend Notebook


Thoughts, views and opinions as current events unfold: With topics taken from current market events and my latest book — When the Bubble Bursts: Surviving the Canadian Real Estate Crash (Dundurn: March 2015)  and my first book Investment Traps and How to Avoid Them (1999) — this short piece will give you unique and valuable insights filtered by my thirty-six years’ experience as an investment professional.
 

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Canadian banks downplay housing risks

Published by Hilliard MacBeth on May 29, 2020

Canadian banks reported their results this week and, as expected, took substantially higher provisions for credit losses. Most of the increase in provisions came from estimates for future losses on performing loans. Banks are required to estimate future... Read more
CMHC head warns that housing losses could be huge

Published by Hilliard MacBeth on May 22, 2020

Evan Siddall, the CEO of the government’s housing agency, spoke to a parliamentary committee on Tuesday about Canadian housing risks. The agency he heads insures mortgages for the riskiest borrowers, those who cannot provide a down payment of at least... Read more
The debate over negative interest rates gets hot

Published by Hilliard MacBeth on May 15, 2020

On May 13, 2020 Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell made a virtual speech warning about the weak U.S. economy, suggesting that fiscal and monetary policy makers must rise to the challenges caused by COVID-19. Since the Fed has already cut interest rates... Read more
Shopify surpasses RBC on the S&P/TSX

Published by Hilliard MacBeth on May 08, 2020

Investors in Canada, and elsewhere, are watching with fascination as Shopify, an Ottawa-based company founded by former snowboarder Tobias Lutke, grows to become the largest company by market value in Canada. Will Shopify be the next Amazon? In full disclosure... Read more
The return of the saver

Published by Hilliard MacBeth on May 01, 2020

The impact of COVID-19 threatens to turn this recession into a unique event with unpredictable consequences. The economies of many developed countries were long overdue for a period of negative growth, and the elevated household debts in Canada, China... Read more