Hilliard’s Weekend Notebook


Thoughts, views and opinions as current events unfold: With topics taken from current market events and my latest book — When the Bubble Bursts: Surviving the Canadian Real Estate Crash (Dundurn: March 2015)  and my first book Investment Traps and How to Avoid Them (1999) — this short piece will give you unique and valuable insights filtered by my thirty-six years’ experience as an investment professional.
 

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Guest post - The S&P/TSX in 2019: don't bet on it

Published by Fraser Betkowski on Jan 25, 2019

January brings analyst predictions of where stock market indices will end that year. For 2019, the calls from analysts for the trajectory of the S&P/TSX, Canada’s main exchange, have mostly been positive. This comes after the index experienced a 12% drop... Read more
China offers big potential returns with even bigger risks

Published by Hilliard MacBeth on Jan 18, 2019

Some of China’s stock market indices showed some of the worst performance in the world over the last year. The Shanghai market fell 24 percent while the Shenzhen market plummeted 32 percent. Trade uncertainty, slowing economic growth in China and a crackdown... Read more
The BOC goes on pause for now

Published by Hilliard MacBeth on Jan 11, 2019

The Bank of Canada released its Monetary Policy Report this week along with an announcement that the Bank of Canada target rate would remain unchanged. But in the media release Governor Stephen Poloz insisted that rates are too low and further hikes will... Read more
The surprising plunge in the price of oil

Published by Hilliard MacBeth on Jan 04, 2019

The price of crude oil (WTI) plummeted from a peak in early October of more than $75, to a bottom near the end of December below $45. This rapid plunge was surprising as OPEC announced production cuts of 1.2 million barrels per day and even Alberta kicked... Read more